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  <title>Alli by PMG Blog</title>
  <link>https://alli.pmg.com/blog/</link>
  <description>Analysis from PMG on data, AI, and growth.</description>
  <language>en-us</language>
  <item>
    <title>OpenAI ads: strong early returns for eight brands, at small spend</title>
    <link>https://alli.pmg.com/blog/openai-ads-early-results/</link>
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    <pubDate>Thu, 12 Nov 2026 09:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
    <description>Seven of eight brands earned more per OpenAI dollar than on their average media dollar, at very small spend. What PMG measured, and how far it goes.</description>
  </item>
  <item>
    <title>Synthetic research: what to trust, and when to add real people</title>
    <link>https://alli.pmg.com/blog/synthetic-research-when-to-add-real-people/</link>
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    <pubDate>Tue, 10 Nov 2026 09:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
    <description>AI survey estimates landed about four points from real results on average. When that's close enough, and when to add a small real sample.</description>
  </item>
  <item>
    <title>Drift is the bug nobody files</title>
    <link>https://alli.pmg.com/blog/model-drift-bug/</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">https://alli.pmg.com/blog/model-drift-bug/</guid>
    <pubDate>Sat, 07 Nov 2026 09:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
    <description>Marketing models lose accuracy quietly as platforms, signals, and customers change. Why drift goes unreported, where to look for it, and five questions to ask.</description>
  </item>
  <item>
    <title>How brands show up in AI answers, and what to measure</title>
    <link>https://alli.pmg.com/blog/ai-search-visibility/</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">https://alli.pmg.com/blog/ai-search-visibility/</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 06 Nov 2026 09:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
    <description>Why one AI answer tells you little about your brand, how mentions differ from citations, and how to measure AI visibility across repeated runs.</description>
  </item>
  <item>
    <title>Think Bayesian without the equation</title>
    <link>https://alli.pmg.com/blog/bayesian-thinking-without-the-equation/</link>
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    <pubDate>Thu, 05 Nov 2026 09:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
    <description>Bayesian thinking without the math: start with what you know, weigh new evidence, and adjust. Worked through one brand search question.</description>
  </item>
  <item>
    <title>Most agent failures are evaluation failures</title>
    <link>https://alli.pmg.com/blog/agent-evaluation-failures/</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">https://alli.pmg.com/blog/agent-evaluation-failures/</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 03 Nov 2026 09:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
    <description>AI agents that pass their tests still fail in production. Four ways agent evals go wrong, what to test in a marketing agent, and five questions before launch.</description>
  </item>
  <item>
    <title>Why teams ignore AI insights</title>
    <link>https://alli.pmg.com/blog/why-teams-ignore-ai-insights/</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">https://alli.pmg.com/blog/why-teams-ignore-ai-insights/</guid>
    <pubDate>Sat, 31 Oct 2026 09:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
    <description>AI insights often need a price, segment, or budget change the person who sees them can't make. What the 2026 data shows, and a 90-day plan.</description>
  </item>
  <item>
    <title>Why your MMM's range matters more than its number</title>
    <link>https://alli.pmg.com/blog/mmm-range-matters/</link>
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    <pubDate>Thu, 29 Oct 2026 09:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
    <description>A marketing mix model's ROAS is one plausible answer among several. How wide MMM uncertainty runs, how to decide with a range, and five questions to ask.</description>
  </item>
  <item>
    <title>Your RAG problem is a chunking problem</title>
    <link>https://alli.pmg.com/blog/rag-chunking-problem/</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">https://alli.pmg.com/blog/rag-chunking-problem/</guid>
    <pubDate>Mon, 26 Oct 2026 09:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
    <description>Most wrong answers from document assistants start with retrieval. How chunking and search cause them, what the evidence shows, and five checks to run.</description>
  </item>
  <item>
    <title>Four circuit-breakers every autonomous marketing workflow needs</title>
    <link>https://alli.pmg.com/blog/marketing-agent-circuit-breakers/</link>
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    <pubDate>Thu, 22 Oct 2026 09:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
    <description>Marketing agents are being built faster than their limits. Four circuit-breakers, the evidence, and five questions to ask before an agent gets a budget.</description>
  </item>
  <item>
    <title>Four systems, one customer: who gets credit for the sale</title>
    <link>https://alli.pmg.com/blog/cannibalization-loop/</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">https://alli.pmg.com/blog/cannibalization-loop/</guid>
    <pubDate>Mon, 19 Oct 2026 09:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
    <description>Bidding, affiliate, and CRM systems can each claim the same sale. What incrementality tests show about branded search and affiliate, and how to check yours.</description>
  </item>
  <item>
    <title>Why finance doesn't trust marketing's numbers</title>
    <link>https://alli.pmg.com/blog/marketing-finance-trust/</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">https://alli.pmg.com/blog/marketing-finance-trust/</guid>
    <pubDate>Fri, 16 Oct 2026 09:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
    <description>Marketing and finance expect similar payback but disagree on proof. What 2026 research shows about definitions, timing, and uncertainty, and what to fix.</description>
  </item>
  <item>
    <title>Your highest-ROAS campaign may be selling returns</title>
    <link>https://alli.pmg.com/blog/closed-loop-marketing-telemetry/</link>
    <guid isPermaLink="true">https://alli.pmg.com/blog/closed-loop-marketing-telemetry/</guid>
    <pubDate>Tue, 13 Oct 2026 09:00:00 -0600</pubDate>
    <description>Ad platforms optimize on checkout value, but returns arrive later. How return-adjusted signals change bidding, with 2026 evidence and a checklist.</description>
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